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Table 5 Model Parameters Estimation

From: Studying driving behavior and risk perception: a road safety perspective in Egypt

 

Parameter

β

Std. Error

95% Wald Confidence Interval

Hypothesis Test

Lower

Upper

Wald Chi-Sq.

D.F.

Sig.

A: Demographics Model

(Intercept)

1.107

0.1224

0.867

1.347

81.794

1

*** .000

Age

−0.159

0.0418

−0.241

−0.077

14.449

1

*** .000

# of Daily Trips

0.067

0.0217

0.025

0.110

9.578

1

*** .002

# of Daily Driving Hours

0.068

0.0235

0.021

0.114

8.224

1

*** .004

Omnibus Test < Like hood Ratio Chi-Square = 45.081 @ D.F = 3 & P = 0.000 >

Goodness Of Fit < Deviance (726.146) / Degree of Freedom (819) = 0.887, Pearson Chi-Square (1011.291) / Degree of Freedom (819) = 1.235, AIC = 3430.093, BIC = 3453.663, CAIC = 3458.663>

B: Driver Behavior Model

(Intercept)

.867

.1505

.572

1.162

33.198

1

*** .000

Exceeding Speed Limit

.057

.0276

.003

.111

4.251

1

* .039

Honking Horn / Using High Beam

.093

.0237

.047

.139

15.431

1

*** .000

Driving in Opposite Direction

.085

.0344

.018

.153

6.173

1

* .013

Keeping Safe Following Distance

−.077

.0240

−.124

−.030

10.417

1

** .001

Using Seatbelt While Driving

−.059

.0199

−.098

−.020

8.843

1

** .003

Omnibus Test < Like hood Ratio Chi-Square = 67.584 @ Degree of Freedom = 5 & P = 0.000.>

Goodness Of Fit < Deviance (724.811)/ Degree of Freedom (817) = 0.887, Pearson Chi-Square(972.366) / Degree of Freedom (817) = 1.190, AIC = 3422.174, BIC = 3455.174, CAIC = 3462.174>

C: Demographics and Driver Behavior Combined Model

(Intercept)

.563

.2013

.168

.957

7.821

1

** .005

Age

−.118

.0474

−.211

−.025

6.220

1

* .013

Driving Experience

.004

.0245

−.044

.052

.030

1

.862

# of Daily Driving Hours

.065

.0249

.016

.113

6.748

1

** .009

Transportation Type

−.025

.0135

−.052

.001

3.526

1

.060

# of Daily Trips

.060

.0210

.019

.101

8.069

1

** .005

Who Accompanies in Your Trips

−.011

.0209

−.052

.030

.258

1

.612

Exceeding Speed Limit

.027

.0312

−.034

.088

.742

1

.389

Overtaking Illegally

.001

.0288

−.055

.058

.002

1

.965

Mobile Phone Use

−.058

.0273

−.112

−.005

4.532

1

.033

Honking Horn / Using High Beam

.106

.0251

.057

.155

17.825

1

*** .000

Tailgating

−.008

.0244

−.056

.040

.099

1

.752

Miss Exits

−.035

.0341

−.101

.032

1.028

1

.311

Driving in Opposite Direction

.113

.0347

.045

.181

10.594

1

** .001

Running Red lights

.035

.0250

−.014

.084

1.922

1

.166

Lane change

.037

.0325

−.027

.100

1.265

1

.261

Omnibus Test < Like hood Ratio Chi-Square = 105.686 @ D.F = 15 & P = 0.000 >

Goodness Of Fit < Deviance (718.097) / Degree of Freedom (807) = 0.890, Pearson Chi-Square (974.907) / Degree of Freedom (807) = 1.208, AIC = 3404.072, BIC = 3484.213, CAIC = 3501.213>

D: Adjusted Demographics and Driver Behavior Combined Model

(Intercept)

.685

.1608

.370

1.000

18.131

1

*** .000

Honking Horn / Using High Beam

.096

.0233

.050

.141

16.872

1

*** .000

Driving in Opposite Direction

.106

.0329

.042

.171

10.451

1

** .001

Keeping Safe Following Distance

−.066

.0237

−.113

−.020

7.856

 

** .005

Age

−.116

.0377

−.190

−.042

9.460

1

** .002

# of Daily Trips

.075

.0192

.037

.112

15.078

1

*** .000

# of Daily Driving Hours

.045

.0212

.003

.086

4.422

 

* .035

Omnibus Test < Like hood Ratio Chi-Square = 99.235 @ D.F = 6 & P = 0.000 >

Goodness Of Fit < Deviance (720.037) / Degree of Freedom (816) = 0.912, Pearson Chi-Square (976.801) / Degree of Freedom (816= 1.097, AIC = 3392.524, BIC = 3430.237, CAIC = 3438.237 >

  1. * p < 0.05. **, p < 0.01, *** p < 0.001